Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.849965 4.123097 4.414460 4.749844 5.127062 5.540371 6.030435
2025-06-29 3.334155 3.702136 4.118305 4.629232 5.247278 5.981118 6.934742
2025-07-06 3.026354 3.439638 3.925342 4.548452 5.342311 6.343248 7.741800
2025-07-13 2.826275 3.270870 3.809389 4.525264 5.477642 6.742610 8.630502
2025-07-20 2.712297 3.190444 3.785731 4.603723 5.738025 7.324462 9.859792
2025-07-27 2.625690 3.133449 3.781354 4.699075 6.022280 7.968241 11.302671
2025-08-03 2.518782 3.040328 3.719012 4.704319 6.171807 8.424946 12.534618
2025-08-10 2.398314 2.920482 3.610411 4.631705 6.192971 8.676782 13.456364
2025-08-17 2.276195 2.790945 3.479297 4.514177 6.129983 8.777241 14.109924
2025-08-24 2.183714 2.696303 3.390200 4.450189 6.142069 9.002010 15.060040
2025-08-31 2.133106 2.655883 3.374051 4.492609 6.327266 9.553662 16.854343
2025-09-07 2.079463 2.608109 3.343820 4.509731 6.469955 10.046455 18.675327
2025-09-14 1.975048 2.487117 3.204870 4.353336 6.311315 9.959978 19.104235
2025-09-21 1.894683 2.397519 3.108462 4.259496 6.255853 10.075738 20.129829
2025-09-28 1.827043 2.323076 3.030471 4.189357 6.234662 10.256483 21.409860
2025-10-05 1.777403 2.272364 2.985217 4.169030 6.301219 10.632146 23.443082
2025-10-12 1.753726 2.258099 2.993910 4.237969 6.540517 11.430575 27.308989
2025-10-19 1.734928 2.249906 3.011006 4.321632 6.817072 12.375908 32.455884
2025-10-26 1.698914 2.214536 2.983766 4.326230 6.936522 12.966437 36.713756
2025-11-02 1.649781 2.157712 2.920138 4.262534 6.909544 13.177502 39.434186
2025-11-09 1.594657 2.090157 2.836899 4.159286 6.791012 13.126461 40.820355
2025-11-16 1.552531 2.041066 2.781395 4.102993 6.767370 13.333412 43.887287
2025-11-23 1.532360 2.024688 2.777714 4.140318 6.948665 14.157747 51.807832